The Road from Ruin 在线下载 pdf mobi 2025 epub 电子版

We Have a World-Class Mess . . . Now What?

Amid the carnage of bankruptcies, soaring unemployment, and millions of families losing their homes during the financial crisis of 2007–2009 lay the bloody corpse of a set of ideas that had underpinned the economics of the previous thirty years. A system that had been delivering unprecedented prosperity on a global scale suddenly teetered on the verge of collapse. Capitalism was seemingly exposed as a house of cards. The blame game became a new national pastime as doomsayers predicted the end of America’s leadership of the world economy .

We’re at a crossroads, and decisions about how to reshape a discredited capitalism will profoundly affect whether the coming years will be ones of depression, stagnation, or renewed prosperity.

Instant analysis since the collapse of the financial system in the fall of 2008 has produced no end of ideas about what to do—ranging from those of free market ideologues (let the market do its work and damn the consequences) to extreme government interventionists determined to keep the animal spirits of capitalism penned up.

But if there is anything worse than toxic financial assets it is toxic ideas. We need to reject the old orthodoxies and conventional wisdoms. Matthew Bishop and Michael Green take a step back and analyze what can be learned from financial crises of the past—from the Tulip Craze of the seventeenth century through the Great Depression of the 1930s, Japan’s Great Deflation, and the Long-Term Capital debacle of the 1990s to the unprecedented interventions of the government during the past year—to set the agenda for a reformed twenty-first-century capitalism. The result is an enlightening perspective on what set us on the road to ruin, as well as road signs to guide us back to prosperity.

--Why bubbles are the consequence of financial innovations that generate economic breakthroughs, but why it would be wrong to abandon these inventions of the financial engineers. The Road from Ruin explains how stifling innovation and risk-taking comes at a huge cost to future prosperity.

--Why the economy needed a fiscal stimulus to recover from the crisis. Bishop and Green show how economic dogmatists of the Right, who opposed the stimulus, got it wrong, but warn that those on the Left who want the stimulus to run and run could usher in a new era of high inflation.

--Why company bosses became too focused on short-term results and did not see the crisis coming. The Road from Ruin shows how we can get business leaders to put the interests of society ahead of their own pay-packets.

--The danger of focusing on the financial symptoms of the crisis without tackling the underlying economic causes, such as the world operating on the dollar standard. Bishop and Green show why the role of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency is not just a problem for the rest of the world but for the United States as well.

--Why many of capitalism’s champions—especially the advocates of the efficient market hypothesis—lost touch with reality. The Road from Ruin provides insights into new ideas in economics that recognize how the complexity and irrationality of the human beings who make up the economy can be harnessed to build a better capitalism.

Remarkably, the issues we face today have presented themselves in one form or another over the past three centuries. Matthew Bishop and Michael Green skillfully draw both the lessons learned and prescriptions for reform to prevent another catastrophic meltdown and put America back on top.

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书籍介绍

We Have a World-Class Mess . . . Now What?

Amid the carnage of bankruptcies, soaring unemployment, and millions of families losing their homes during the financial crisis of 2007–2009 lay the bloody corpse of a set of ideas that had underpinned the economics of the previous thirty years. A system that had been delivering unprecedented prosperity on a global scale suddenly teetered on the verge of collapse. Capitalism was seemingly exposed as a house of cards. The blame game became a new national pastime as doomsayers predicted the end of America’s leadership of the world economy .

We’re at a crossroads, and decisions about how to reshape a discredited capitalism will profoundly affect whether the coming years will be ones of depression, stagnation, or renewed prosperity.

Instant analysis since the collapse of the financial system in the fall of 2008 has produced no end of ideas about what to do—ranging from those of free market ideologues (let the market do its work and damn the consequences) to extreme government interventionists determined to keep the animal spirits of capitalism penned up.

But if there is anything worse than toxic financial assets it is toxic ideas. We need to reject the old orthodoxies and conventional wisdoms. Matthew Bishop and Michael Green take a step back and analyze what can be learned from financial crises of the past—from the Tulip Craze of the seventeenth century through the Great Depression of the 1930s, Japan’s Great Deflation, and the Long-Term Capital debacle of the 1990s to the unprecedented interventions of the government during the past year—to set the agenda for a reformed twenty-first-century capitalism. The result is an enlightening perspective on what set us on the road to ruin, as well as road signs to guide us back to prosperity.

--Why bubbles are the consequence of financial innovations that generate economic breakthroughs, but why it would be wrong to abandon these inventions of the financial engineers. The Road from Ruin explains how stifling innovation and risk-taking comes at a huge cost to future prosperity.

--Why the economy needed a fiscal stimulus to recover from the crisis. Bishop and Green show how economic dogmatists of the Right, who opposed the stimulus, got it wrong, but warn that those on the Left who want the stimulus to run and run could usher in a new era of high inflation.

--Why company bosses became too focused on short-term results and did not see the crisis coming. The Road from Ruin shows how we can get business leaders to put the interests of society ahead of their own pay-packets.

--The danger of focusing on the financial symptoms of the crisis without tackling the underlying economic causes, such as the world operating on the dollar standard. Bishop and Green show why the role of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency is not just a problem for the rest of the world but for the United States as well.

--Why many of capitalism’s champions—especially the advocates of the efficient market hypothesis—lost touch with reality. The Road from Ruin provides insights into new ideas in economics that recognize how the complexity and irrationality of the human beings who make up the economy can be harnessed to build a better capitalism.

Remarkably, the issues we face today have presented themselves in one form or another over the past three centuries. Matthew Bishop and Michael Green skillfully draw both the lessons learned and prescriptions for reform to prevent another catastrophic meltdown and put America back on top.

• 作者：沙漠高处有人哭 发布时间：2022-04-01 15:05:54

  赞美兰州的散文诗……建议10岁以下喜欢兰州的人阅读。

• 作者：大头大头 发布时间：2018-08-17 23:27:09

  说这本书不是郎道写的，Are you kidding？认真看了吗？只看第一章就知道关于费米液体的理论就是当年郎道原始论文的内容，连小节标题都没变，只是把郎道的论文用更加流畅的语言和更简洁的推导弄出来，这就跟朗道差很多？？？说是栗弗席兹写的，但栗弗席兹好意思当做作者？？没看到书封面右上角大大的两个字：朗道？？？

• 作者：蓝阕 发布时间：2023-08-08 21:53:26

  列入反复必读书。

• 作者：FYI 发布时间：2012-08-06 10:28:56

  现代生活肯定不会承认这竟是常识，而拥其为真理，远远麻木地观望！

• 作者：酷马酷吗 发布时间：2021-04-03 18:38:55

  算是智能家居安利书吧

• 作者：Marci 重生版 发布时间：2023-10-05 19:46:31

  电影几乎是倒模一般拍了一遍，但是影像更浪漫化也更暗流涌动，大江的文字倒是读来平淡中浅浅一抹残酷意味。

• 以诗人和煽情的角度进行历史马后炮

  作者：Sying 发布时间：2013-06-04 13:38:25

  因为此书在豆瓣上的分高，故从众而看之。

  通篇看完，以茨威格的角度告诉我有如下感觉： 很多历史上的“大事件“都是由偶然的小事情来决定其发展方向的。

  我的感觉是，茨威格从现在回头看过去的历史，就好比央视的篮球评论员在评球时候，看见某个球没有进，长叹一声”哎呀，这个球要是再多传一下，打到内线，一定进啊“，比如这场比赛赢了，他就会说”某某球员在关键时刻，投进了关键的三分，他主宰了这场比赛“

  于是这种”关键时刻“被放大，而产生关键时刻的”基础时刻“被潜意识的忽略。

  个人历史，和社会历史都是由无数个偶尔加偶然加偶然形成的，如果放大某个”偶然“那么我们会称之为”关键历史时刻“”伟大的历史人物“

  作为电视编剧，和小说，电影的手法，当然会赢得观众的欣赏。但是这并不是完全的历史真相。

  这里面能够看到的历史，实际就是”片面的放大史“

  我们的生活都是以秒为单位的像一个贪吃蛇射线一样不回头的过程，每一个点都很重要，每一个点都决定了后面的走向，除非我们的生命可以出现，中途间歇性死亡，后来又复活，那么我们可以把生命分为重要不重要，闪耀或者不闪耀。既然没有间歇性死亡，那么我们的生命，我们的历史就不分，重要，不重要。因为高潮的基础是低潮，低潮也决定了高潮。

  这本书里，隐藏了以下属性

  1 小说试的煽情

  2 评论员式的马后炮

  3 个人崇拜，和民族主义情结

  这是一部可以调动人情绪的历史故事。

  从茨威格后来自杀的行为来看，也证实了他诗人浪漫的生活情怀。

• 【转载】錢老《校勘學》新版二種

  作者：Re_frain 发布时间：2023-12-31 16:12:01

  转载自公众号 火盆陈村人，此文有几处勘误信息，链接在此：

  https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Nm6y4Rpi4i9gT0Ei4MZL9A

  錢老《校勘學》，最早由江蘇古籍出版社（今鳳凰出版社）1988年出版，嘉惠海內。當年的《文教資料》第3期還刊發了書訊。管錫華《七十年代末以來大陸校勘學研究綜述》謂錢老《校勘學》特點有三：（1）明確把校勘學劃爲引用學科；（2）選例、選書典型，有助借鑒；（3）行文有前代樸學大師遺風，提綱挈領，要言不繁。

  2019年6月，北京商務印書館據江蘇古籍出版社本重印，豆瓣讀書的內容簡介謂“以江蘇古籍版爲底本，對其中的引文進行了全面核校”。2019年12月，鳳凰出版社也予重印。

  二本開本相同，皆用精裝。鳳凰版書名題字用原版題字，商務版改用裴德文題字。鳳凰用繁體，商務用簡體，古字頭的看繁體相對更舒服一些。商務字間距、行間距較疏闊，故排了238頁，鳳凰版採用常規排法，只有212頁，從觀感上，鳳凰本字行緊湊，更舒服一些。原版、鳳凰版阿拉伯數字用宋體，不如Times New Roman體看著舒服。原版舉例和正文都用宋體字，新版舉例都改爲楷體字縮進，增加了辨識度；原版每章尾注，新版都改爲腳註，且規範了注釋。二本都存在一定疏失，比如原版緒言講校勘學定義的時候，舉例前後都用了破折號，商務版丟了後面的一個。另外，有些標點符號也值得進一步推敲。鳳凰版可能是先照原版錄文，然後進行繁簡轉換，故出現了一些繁簡轉換過程中的問題，如“對象”轉換成“物件”、“水平”轉換成“水準”。此外，在轉錄中有漏字，如原版緒言第7例，“列子書錄”前有“又”字，商務版照錄，鳳凰版卻丟掉了。原版有誤排的字，新版並未完全改正，如原版42頁“旋”是“旅”字之誤，新版沒改過來。也有原版不誤，新版搞錯了的，如原版第101頁“蓋傎”之“傎”，鳳凰版誤作“慎”字。當然，兩個新版的發行，爲傳播錢老著作、讀者瞭解錢老學術提供極大方便。

  當然，錢老的主要學問還是禮學，《三禮通論》《三禮名物通釋》《三禮辭典》爲世所重。《三禮辭典》已經再版，《通論》《通釋》或不久也獲重版。此外，錢老在古文字、古語法、訓詁等方面也有宏論嘉製，若有出版單位搜集齊全，分門別類，以文集或論文集形式以饗讀者，那就是讀者更大的幸事了。